2021 TRY to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

527.5970 UGX

YEARLY LOW

214.7638 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

416.5454 UGX

2021 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 20, valuing the pair at 527.5970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 214.7638.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 312.8332 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 498.7995 to the December average rate of 267.5424, the exchange rate registered a net change of -46.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 527.5970 was down 15.91% compared to the 2020 peak of 627.4050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26,379,851 UGX

2020 Average 26,712,220 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,738,192 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,641,658.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

541.2567

242.6593

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 461.4249, compared to 371.6659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 89.7590 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 461.4249

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 371.6659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was December, with a trading range of 116.1705 UGX (High: 330.9343 / Low: 214.7638). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.5149 UGX (High: 419.6868 / Low: 408.1719).

December Spread (Volatile) ±116.1705

July Spread (Stable) ±11.5149

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 64.9696 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -64.9696

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2021: 516.3736) against the same month in 2020 (average: 606.1756), the exchange rate shifted by -89.8020 (-14.81%).

2021 Avg (February) 516.3736

2020 Avg (February) 606.1756

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	505.3993	491.3515	498.7995
February	527.5970	493.4397	516.3736
March	507.4771	439.3924	476.6294
April	450.8884	426.5613	443.2489
May	433.7217	413.3670	423.5555
June	420.2866	403.4432	409.9425
July	419.6868	408.1719	413.1577
August	424.8848	408.4234	417.2687
September	426.1083	396.4023	412.0209
October	402.1455	366.9479	387.4937
November	372.5353	263.9555	332.5120
December	330.9343	214.7638	267.5424