YEARLY HIGH
85.4212 UGX
YEARLY LOW
78.0165 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
81.8104 UGX

2026 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 85.4212. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 7, dropping to 78.0165.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.4048 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 82.5508 to the December average rate of 78.6404, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 85.4212 was down 18.57% compared to the 2025 peak of 104.9037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,271,060 UGX
2025 Average 4,570,488 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 3,900,823 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 370,237.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

84.8873
78.0725
JanuMarcMayJuly

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 82.3387, compared to 78.6404 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6982 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 82.3387
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 78.6404

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 4.3981 UGX (High: 84.2577 / Low: 79.8595). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6070 UGX (High: 82.7894 / Low: 82.1823).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.3981
May Spread (Stable) ±0.6070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.0538 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0538

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 84.3194) against the same month in 2025 (average: 98.7049), the exchange rate shifted by -14.3856 (-14.57%).

2026 Avg (March) 84.3194
2025 Avg (March) 98.7049

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 84.2577 79.8595 82.5508
February 82.8519 80.6854 81.5533
March 85.4212 81.8555 84.3194
April 84.2678 82.3811 83.0307
May 82.7894 82.1823 82.3159
June 82.1119 78.3325 80.2620
July 79.6521 78.0165 78.6404