YEARLY HIGH
104.9037 UGX
YEARLY LOW
81.5528 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
91.4686 UGX

2025 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 104.9037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 81.5528.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.3508 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 103.7964 to the December average rate of 83.6727, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 104.9037 was down 18.22% compared to the 2024 peak of 128.2781, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,245,184 UGX
2024 Average 5,725,456 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,077,642 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,167,542.19 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

105.8974
80.6856
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 97.6388, compared to 85.2984 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.3405 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 97.6388
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 85.2984

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was March, with a trading range of 5.5577 UGX (High: 100.9326 / Low: 95.3749). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.6660 UGX (High: 84.7722 / Low: 83.1062).

March Spread (Volatile) ±5.5577
December Spread (Stable) ±1.6660

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 3.0065 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0065

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 103.7964) against the same month in 2024 (average: 126.4140), the exchange rate shifted by -22.6176 (-17.89%).

2025 Avg (January) 103.7964
2024 Avg (January) 126.4140

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 104.9037 102.6873 103.7964
February 104.1795 100.7495 101.7115
March 100.9326 95.3749 98.7049
April 97.8949 95.2220 96.1163
May 95.1018 92.6949 94.1380
June 93.0693 90.0040 91.3657
July 90.2316 88.1117 89.0577
August 88.2225 86.0325 87.1440
September 86.1392 83.7831 84.8192
October 83.5666 81.5528 82.7866
November 86.5002 82.5764 84.3100
December 84.7722 83.1062 83.6727