2016 TRY to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1196.5535 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1012.0758 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1132.6067 UGX

2016 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 4, valuing the pair at 1196.5535. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 21, dropping to 1012.0758.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 184.4777 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1148.0284 to the December average rate of 1027.9389, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.46% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1196.5535 was down 9.01% compared to the 2015 peak of 1315.0894, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,827,673 UGX

2015 Average 59,396,801 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 50,603,790 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,223,883.43 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1193.7219

1012.8677

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1158.0793, compared to 1107.1341 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 50.9452 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1158.0793

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1107.1341

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was July, with a trading range of 76.1508 UGX (High: 1172.1876 / Low: 1096.0368). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.2306 UGX (High: 1129.0301 / Low: 1108.7995).

July Spread (Volatile) ±76.1508

October Spread (Stable) ±20.2306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 53.4458 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -53.4458

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 1178.6507) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1129.0567), the exchange rate shifted by +49.5940 (+4.39%).

2016 Avg (April) 1178.6507

2015 Avg (April) 1129.0567

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1177.7265	1126.8769	1148.0284
February	1186.4329	1124.7927	1164.0707
March	1194.2457	1137.3865	1166.5412
April	1196.5535	1161.1548	1178.6507
May	1186.8831	1118.3376	1136.7128
June	1181.8103	1141.5442	1154.4722
July	1172.1876	1096.0368	1138.2824
August	1152.0772	1119.2871	1139.0312
September	1154.3113	1129.4186	1139.4070
October	1129.0301	1108.7995	1116.7604
November	1115.9411	1049.1891	1081.3847
December	1062.1796	1012.0758	1027.9389