YEARLY HIGH
128.2781 UGX
YEARLY LOW
103.7084 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
114.5444 UGX

2024 TRY to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the TRY to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 128.2781. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 103.7084.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.5697 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 126.4140 to the December average rate of 104.6730, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 128.2781 was down 35.55% compared to the 2023 peak of 199.0474, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 50,000 TRY based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,413,906 UGX
2023 Average 8,063,194 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 5,185,422 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,228,483.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

128.5881
102.4989
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TRY to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 120.6808, compared to 108.4080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.2728 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 120.6808
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 108.4080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 6.0366 UGX (High: 118.5112 / Low: 112.4746). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8272 UGX (High: 107.4942 / Low: 106.6670).

June Spread (Volatile) ±6.0366
October Spread (Stable) ±0.8272

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 4.2066 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.2066

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 126.4140) against the same month in 2023 (average: 196.5732), the exchange rate shifted by -70.1592 (-35.69%).

2024 Avg (January) 126.4140
2023 Avg (January) 196.5732

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 128.2781 125.4130 126.4140
February 126.8846 125.0063 125.6852
March 125.2647 119.4746 121.4786
April 121.0407 116.5387 118.0401
May 118.6849 116.2297 117.3653
June 118.5112 112.4746 115.1018
July 113.7714 111.4857 112.5355
August 112.5055 108.3204 110.4096
September 109.7330 107.8384 108.9379
October 107.4942 106.6670 107.1573
November 107.5814 105.7113 106.7347
December 106.1371 103.7084 104.6730