YEARLY HIGH
0.1344 AOA
YEARLY LOW
0.0829 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0984 AOA

2019 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 29, valuing the pair at 0.1344. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.0829.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0515 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0837 to the December average rate of 0.1296, the exchange rate registered a net change of 54.70% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.1344 was up 60.63% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0837, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 672 AOA
2018 Average 338 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 415 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 257.68 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.1341
0.0792
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0862, compared to 0.1107 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0246 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0862
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1107

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 0.0317 AOA (High: 0.1344 / Low: 0.1028). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 AOA (High: 0.0857 / Low: 0.0848).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0317
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2019: 0.1156) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0802), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0354 (+44.14%).

2019 Avg (October) 0.1156
2018 Avg (October) 0.0802

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0850 0.0829 0.0837
February 0.0857 0.0848 0.0853
March 0.0859 0.0847 0.0853
April 0.0863 0.0846 0.0854
May 0.0879 0.0860 0.0868
June 0.0926 0.0877 0.0905
July 0.0945 0.0923 0.0936
August 0.0999 0.0951 0.0974
September 0.1024 0.0981 0.1000
October 0.1344 0.1028 0.1156
November 0.1339 0.1247 0.1281
December 0.1330 0.1250 0.1296