YEARLY HIGH
0.1806 AOA
YEARLY LOW
0.1299 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1558 AOA

2020 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 16, valuing the pair at 0.1806. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.1299.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0507 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1329 to the December average rate of 0.1788, the exchange rate registered a net change of 34.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.1806 was up 34.32% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.1344, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 903 AOA
2019 Average 493 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 650 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 253.32 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.1834
0.1283
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1428, compared to 0.1687 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0259 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1428
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1687

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was August, with a trading range of 0.0137 AOA (High: 0.1636 / Low: 0.1499). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0023 AOA (High: 0.1351 / Low: 0.1328).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0137
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0023

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2020: 0.1783) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.1281), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0501 (+39.12%).

2020 Avg (November) 0.1783
2019 Avg (November) 0.1281

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1351 0.1299 0.1329
February 0.1351 0.1328 0.1345
March 0.1423 0.1320 0.1350
April 0.1505 0.1414 0.1477
May 0.1558 0.1437 0.1491
June 0.1627 0.1518 0.1579
July 0.1571 0.1499 0.1538
August 0.1636 0.1499 0.1594
September 0.1696 0.1644 0.1678
October 0.1780 0.1699 0.1742
November 0.1806 0.1747 0.1783
December 0.1798 0.1769 0.1788