YEARLY HIGH
0.0837 AOA
YEARLY LOW
0.0453 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0675 AOA

2018 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 0.0837. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 6, dropping to 0.0453.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0384 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0492 to the December average rate of 0.0832, the exchange rate registered a net change of 69.15% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0837 was up 79.62% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0466, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 418 AOA
2017 Average 229 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 227 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 191.82 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0866
0.0458
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0583, compared to 0.0767 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0583
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0767

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.0118 AOA (High: 0.0572 / Low: 0.0453). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 AOA (High: 0.0835 / Low: 0.0828).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0118
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.0829) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0456), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0373 (+81.85%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.0829
2017 Avg (November) 0.0456

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0572 0.0453 0.0492
February 0.0585 0.0569 0.0577
March 0.0590 0.0580 0.0586
April 0.0608 0.0580 0.0590
May 0.0634 0.0607 0.0623
June 0.0643 0.0621 0.0631
July 0.0695 0.0639 0.0675
August 0.0734 0.0696 0.0713
September 0.0770 0.0734 0.0751
October 0.0820 0.0775 0.0802
November 0.0837 0.0818 0.0829
December 0.0835 0.0828 0.0832