2016 UGX to AOA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0501 AOA

YEARLY LOW

0.0396 AOA

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0477 AOA

2016 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 24, valuing the pair at 0.0501. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.0396.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0105 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0432 to the December average rate of 0.0460, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.47% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0501 was up 22.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0410, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 251 AOA

2015 Average 185 AOA

Yearly Trough Low 198 AOA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 52.57 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0502

0.0426

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0474, compared to 0.0480 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0474

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0480

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0059 AOA (High: 0.0455 / Low: 0.0396). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 AOA (High: 0.0492 / Low: 0.0490).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0059

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0017 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0017

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2016: 0.0490) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0364), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0127 (+34.89%).

2016 Avg (April) 0.0490

2015 Avg (April) 0.0364

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0455	0.0396	0.0432
February	0.0473	0.0447	0.0459
March	0.0476	0.0471	0.0474
April	0.0501	0.0476	0.0490
May	0.0500	0.0490	0.0496
June	0.0496	0.0486	0.0493
July	0.0492	0.0487	0.0490
August	0.0492	0.0490	0.0491
September	0.0491	0.0489	0.0490
October	0.0490	0.0478	0.0483
November	0.0478	0.0456	0.0465
December	0.0467	0.0456	0.0460