YEARLY HIGH
0.0398 AOA
YEARLY LOW
0.0363 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0379 AOA

2014 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 0.0398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 30, dropping to 0.0363.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0035 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0391 to the December average rate of 0.0369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0398 was up 1.50% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0392, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 199 AOA
2013 Average 187 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 182 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.51 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0398
0.0364
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0387, compared to 0.0370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0387
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.0012 AOA (High: 0.0398 / Low: 0.0386). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 AOA (High: 0.0377 / Low: 0.0373).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0012
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0010 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 0.0395) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0361), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0035 (+9.59%).

2014 Avg (February) 0.0395
2013 Avg (February) 0.0361

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0395 0.0386 0.0391
February 0.0398 0.0386 0.0395
March 0.0389 0.0380 0.0385
April 0.0390 0.0381 0.0387
May 0.0388 0.0383 0.0386
June 0.0384 0.0374 0.0379
July 0.0375 0.0365 0.0370
August 0.0377 0.0373 0.0375
September 0.0376 0.0371 0.0374
October 0.0372 0.0366 0.0369
November 0.0370 0.0363 0.0367
December 0.0372 0.0364 0.0369