2021 UGX to AOA Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1853 AOA

YEARLY LOW

0.1553 AOA

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1747 AOA

2021 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 9, valuing the pair at 0.1853. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.1553.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0300 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1777 to the December average rate of 0.1586, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1853 was up 2.60% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.1806, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 926 AOA

2020 Average 779 AOA

Yearly Trough Low 776 AOA

Transaction Impact: A difference of 150.03 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1856

0.1561

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1780, compared to 0.1714 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0066 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1780

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1714

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0116 AOA (High: 0.1832 / Low: 0.1716). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0012 AOA (High: 0.1807 / Low: 0.1795).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0116

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0082 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0082

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2021: 0.1831) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.1491), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0341 (+22.84%).

2021 Avg (May) 0.1831

2020 Avg (May) 0.1491

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1790	0.1759	0.1777
February	0.1787	0.1736	0.1777
March	0.1720	0.1676	0.1700
April	0.1832	0.1716	0.1774
May	0.1853	0.1809	0.1831
June	0.1828	0.1810	0.1818
July	0.1818	0.1796	0.1808
August	0.1807	0.1795	0.1801
September	0.1799	0.1683	0.1751
October	0.1693	0.1645	0.1671
November	0.1697	0.1585	0.1667
December	0.1604	0.1553	0.1586