YEARLY HIGH
0.0410 AOA
YEARLY LOW
0.0342 AOA
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0370 AOA

2015 UGX to AOA Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to AOA exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 0.0410. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 0.0342.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0068 AOA. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0363 to the December average rate of 0.0403, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0410 was up 3.01% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0398, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 205 AOA
2014 Average 189 AOA
Yearly Trough Low 171 AOA
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34.12 AOA purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0407
0.0351
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to AOA Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0364, compared to 0.0375 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0364
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0375

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0031 AOA (High: 0.0381 / Low: 0.0350). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 AOA (High: 0.0367 / Low: 0.0361).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0031
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 0.0403) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0369), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0034 (+9.14%).

2015 Avg (December) 0.0403
2014 Avg (December) 0.0369

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0371 0.0357 0.0363
February 0.0369 0.0362 0.0367
March 0.0369 0.0353 0.0363
April 0.0366 0.0360 0.0364
May 0.0367 0.0361 0.0365
June 0.0375 0.0349 0.0362
July 0.0381 0.0350 0.0372
August 0.0367 0.0344 0.0355
September 0.0370 0.0342 0.0356
October 0.0384 0.0366 0.0372
November 0.0403 0.0381 0.0395
December 0.0410 0.0392 0.0403