2011 UGX to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5810 MNT

YEARLY LOW

0.4329 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5005 MNT

2011 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 20, valuing the pair at 0.5810. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 24, dropping to 0.4329.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1480 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5345 to the December average rate of 0.5569, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.19% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.5810 was down 24.22% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.7666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,905 MNT

2010 Average 3,120 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 2,165 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 740.14 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.5680

0.4340

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5191, compared to 0.4819 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0372 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5191

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4819

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0604 MNT (High: 0.5002 / Low: 0.4398). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0152 MNT (High: 0.4898 / Low: 0.4746).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0604

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0152

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0338 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 0.5569) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.5311), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0258 (+4.86%).

2011 Avg (December) 0.5569

2010 Avg (December) 0.5311

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5457	0.5170	0.5345
February	0.5395	0.5222	0.5316
March	0.5267	0.4950	0.5106
April	0.5286	0.4996	0.5122
May	0.5315	0.5052	0.5145
June	0.5236	0.4707	0.5110
July	0.4898	0.4746	0.4802
August	0.4785	0.4329	0.4464
September	0.4527	0.4373	0.4452
October	0.5002	0.4398	0.4575
November	0.5234	0.4903	0.5050
December	0.5810	0.5240	0.5569