YEARLY HIGH
0.7379 MNT
YEARLY LOW
0.6489 MNT
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6947 MNT

2019 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 26, valuing the pair at 0.7379. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 0.6489.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0889 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6624 to the December average rate of 0.7338, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.77% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.7379 was up 8.53% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.6799, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,689 MNT
2018 Average 3,263 MNT
Yearly Trough Low 3,245 MNT
Transaction Impact: A difference of 444.62 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.7419
0.6444
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6649, compared to 0.7245 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0596 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6649
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.7245

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0700 MNT (High: 0.7205 / Low: 0.6505). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0072 MNT (High: 0.7219 / Low: 0.7147).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0700
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0072

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0152 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0152

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 0.7338) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.6635), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0702 (+10.59%).

2019 Avg (December) 0.7338
2018 Avg (December) 0.6635

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6709 0.6569 0.6624
February 0.6853 0.6625 0.6736
March 0.6790 0.6604 0.6697
April 0.6768 0.6545 0.6677
May 0.6670 0.6489 0.6525
June 0.7205 0.6505 0.6633
July 0.7219 0.7147 0.7191
August 0.7342 0.7167 0.7216
September 0.7304 0.7211 0.7248
October 0.7266 0.7175 0.7215
November 0.7286 0.7212 0.7263
December 0.7379 0.7260 0.7338