2018 UGX to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6799 MNT

YEARLY LOW

0.5633 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6525 MNT

2018 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 14, valuing the pair at 0.6799. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 13, dropping to 0.5633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1165 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6656 to the December average rate of 0.6635, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6799 was down 2.06% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6942, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,399 MNT

2017 Average 3,366 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 2,817 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 582.73 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6712

0.6198

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6491, compared to 0.6559 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0069 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6491

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6559

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.0742 MNT (High: 0.6375 / Low: 0.5633). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0053 MNT (High: 0.6497 / Low: 0.6445).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0742

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0201 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 0.6635) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.6702), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0067 (-1.00%).

2018 Avg (December) 0.6635

2017 Avg (December) 0.6702

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6682	0.6626	0.6656
February	0.6658	0.6536	0.6596
March	0.6570	0.6474	0.6545
April	0.6497	0.6445	0.6466
May	0.6465	0.6370	0.6441
June	0.6375	0.5633	0.6240
July	0.6622	0.6258	0.6500
August	0.6627	0.6478	0.6547
September	0.6488	0.6381	0.6423
October	0.6635	0.6385	0.6581
November	0.6731	0.6620	0.6669
December	0.6799	0.6567	0.6635