2014 UGX to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.7221 MNT

YEARLY LOW

0.6491 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6961 MNT

2014 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 15, valuing the pair at 0.7221. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 0.6491.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0729 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6765 to the December average rate of 0.6795, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.44% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.7221 was up 5.58% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.6839, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,610 MNT

2013 Average 2,929 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 3,246 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 364.61 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.7152

0.6730

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6990, compared to 0.6932 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0058 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6990

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6932

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0443 MNT (High: 0.6934 / Low: 0.6491). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0064 MNT (High: 0.6825 / Low: 0.6761).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0443

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0064

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0127 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0127

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2014: 0.7104) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.6031), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1073 (+17.80%).

2014 Avg (August) 0.7104

2013 Avg (August) 0.6031

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6934	0.6491	0.6765
February	0.7164	0.6825	0.7029
March	0.7012	0.6838	0.6946
April	0.7079	0.6901	0.7019
May	0.7164	0.7053	0.7117
June	0.7131	0.6993	0.7065
July	0.7095	0.6862	0.6972
August	0.7221	0.6938	0.7104
September	0.7036	0.6889	0.6978
October	0.6953	0.6828	0.6892
November	0.6923	0.6785	0.6854
December	0.6825	0.6761	0.6795