2015 UGX to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6883 MNT

YEARLY LOW

0.5400 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6120 MNT

2015 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 19, valuing the pair at 0.6883. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 0.5400.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1483 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6734 to the December average rate of 0.5930, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.6883 was down 4.67% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.7221, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,442 MNT

2014 Average 3,480 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 2,700 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 741.62 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.6959

0.5294

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6548, compared to 0.5691 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0857 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6548

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5691

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0477 MNT (High: 0.6036 / Low: 0.5560). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0040 MNT (High: 0.5450 / Low: 0.5409).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0477

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0040

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0495 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0495

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.6820) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.7029), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0209 (-2.98%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.6820

2014 Avg (February) 0.7029

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6810	0.6667	0.6734
February	0.6883	0.6746	0.6820
March	0.6851	0.6564	0.6730
April	0.6664	0.6526	0.6596
May	0.6553	0.6245	0.6452
June	0.6238	0.5790	0.5957
July	0.6036	0.5560	0.5888
August	0.5776	0.5444	0.5608
September	0.5450	0.5409	0.5432
October	0.5630	0.5400	0.5474
November	0.5932	0.5599	0.5815
December	0.6054	0.5784	0.5930