2016 UGX to MNT Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6993 MNT

YEARLY LOW

0.5708 MNT

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6259 MNT

2016 UGX to MNT Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MNT exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 0.6993. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 26, dropping to 0.5708.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1286 MNT. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5797 to the December average rate of 0.6879, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.67% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6993 was up 1.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,497 MNT

2015 Average 3,058 MNT

Yearly Trough Low 2,854 MNT

Transaction Impact: A difference of 642.80 MNT purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6987

0.5688

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MNT Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5938, compared to 0.6580 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0643 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5938

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6580

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.0582 MNT (High: 0.6695 / Low: 0.6114). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0073 MNT (High: 0.6124 / Low: 0.6051).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.0582

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0073

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0159 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0159

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 0.6879) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.5930), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0949 (+16.00%).

2016 Avg (December) 0.6879

2015 Avg (December) 0.5930

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5895	0.5726	0.5797
February	0.6057	0.5774	0.5889
March	0.6124	0.6051	0.6076
April	0.6076	0.5950	0.6021
May	0.6068	0.5902	0.6001
June	0.5931	0.5708	0.5842
July	0.6120	0.5823	0.5976
August	0.6695	0.6114	0.6466
September	0.6740	0.6530	0.6617
October	0.6862	0.6622	0.6721
November	0.6955	0.6730	0.6823
December	0.6993	0.6791	0.6879