2013 VEF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.4107 KES

YEARLY LOW

13.3022 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.1698 KES

2013 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 20, valuing the pair at 20.4107. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 13.3022.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1085 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.2363 to the December average rate of 13.7175, the exchange rate registered a net change of -32.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 20.4107 was up 0.07% compared to the 2012 peak of 20.3962, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 102,054 KES

2012 Average 98,389 KES

Yearly Trough Low 66,511 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,542.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

21.0583

12.6655

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.5806, compared to 13.7590 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.5806

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.7590

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 6.5923 KES (High: 20.1667 / Low: 13.5744). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0759 KES (High: 13.9359 / Low: 13.8600).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.5923

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0759

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 5.1548 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1548

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 20.3589) against the same month in 2012 (average: 19.3406), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0183 (+5.27%).

2013 Avg (February) 20.3589

2012 Avg (February) 19.3406

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.4041	20.0352	20.2363
February	20.4107	20.0946	20.3589
March	20.1667	13.5744	18.5446
April	13.5894	13.3085	13.3899
May	13.5424	13.3022	13.3649
June	13.7032	13.4803	13.5890
July	13.8974	13.6557	13.8065
August	13.9359	13.8600	13.9016
September	13.9295	13.7489	13.8890
October	13.7899	13.4679	13.5477
November	13.8276	13.5702	13.6917
December	13.8016	13.6240	13.7175