2018 VEF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.3853 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0004 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.1484 KES

2018 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 10.3853. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 6, dropping to 0.0004.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.3849 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1838 to the December average rate of 0.0004, the exchange rate registered a net change of -100.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 10.3853 was down 0.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 10.4161, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,927 KES

2017 Average 51,202 KES

Yearly Trough Low 2 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,924.70 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

11.2021

-1.0179

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2963, compared to 0.0006 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2957 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2963

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0006

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 10.1958 KES (High: 10.1993 / Low: 0.0035). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 KES (High: 0.0004 / Low: 0.0004).

February Spread (Volatile) ±10.1958

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 6.5976 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.5976

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 10.1838) against the same month in 2017 (average: 10.3870), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2032 (-1.96%).

2018 Avg (January) 10.1838

2017 Avg (January) 10.3870

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.3853	9.7630	10.1838
February	10.1993	0.0035	3.5862
March	0.0035	0.0025	0.0028
April	0.0025	0.0015	0.0021
May	0.0015	0.0013	0.0014
June	0.0013	0.0013	0.0013
July	0.0013	0.0009	0.0011
August	0.0009	0.0004	0.0006
September	0.0004	0.0004	0.0004
October	0.0004	0.0004	0.0004
November	0.0004	0.0004	0.0004
December	0.0004	0.0004	0.0004