2016 VEF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.2969 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.0696 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.6510 KES

2016 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 16.2969. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 8, dropping to 10.0696.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.2273 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.1948 to the December average rate of 10.2300, the exchange rate registered a net change of -36.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 16.2969 was down 2.85% compared to the 2015 peak of 16.7756, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,485 KES

2015 Average 77,743 KES

Yearly Trough Low 50,348 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 31,136.29 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

16.8038

9.4949

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.1283, compared to 10.1737 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.9546 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.1283

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.1737

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1815 KES (High: 16.2969 / Low: 16.1154). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0166 KES (High: 10.1549 / Low: 10.1383).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1815

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0166

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 5.8904 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.8904

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 16.1948) against the same month in 2015 (average: 14.4647), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7301 (+11.96%).

2016 Avg (January) 16.1948

2015 Avg (January) 14.4647

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.2969	16.1154	16.1948
February	16.2091	16.0845	16.1339
March	16.0880	15.9655	16.0428
April	10.1841	10.1349	10.1524
May	10.1385	10.0696	10.1040
June	10.1583	10.1134	10.1421
July	10.1809	10.0751	10.1475
August	10.1976	10.1503	10.1641
September	10.1549	10.1383	10.1475
October	10.1742	10.1177	10.1553
November	10.2089	10.1729	10.1980
December	10.2569	10.1929	10.2300