YEARLY HIGH
16.7756 KES
YEARLY LOW
14.3467 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
15.5425 KES

2015 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 16.7756. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 14.3467.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4289 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.4647 to the December average rate of 16.1708, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 16.7756 was up 16.77% compared to the 2014 peak of 14.3662, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 83,878 KES
2014 Average 69,846 KES
Yearly Trough Low 71,733 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,144.61 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

16.8977
14.2435
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.8297, compared to 16.2553 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.4255 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.8297
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.2553

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.5392 KES (High: 15.5299 / Low: 14.9908). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0794 KES (High: 14.5303 / Low: 14.4509).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.5392
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0794

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.4149 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4149

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 16.6765) against the same month in 2014 (average: 14.1042), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5723 (+18.24%).

2015 Avg (September) 16.6765
2014 Avg (September) 14.1042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.5591 14.3467 14.4647
February 14.5303 14.4509 14.4871
March 14.6206 14.4062 14.5306
April 14.9733 14.5619 14.7714
May 15.5299 14.9908 15.2480
June 15.7146 15.2378 15.4768
July 16.2370 15.7078 16.0316
August 16.4422 15.9804 16.2187
September 16.7756 16.4554 16.6765
October 16.5408 16.0621 16.2616
November 16.2258 16.1206 16.1723
December 16.2073 16.0798 16.1708