YEARLY HIGH
14.3662 KES
YEARLY LOW
13.5890 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.9678 KES

2014 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 14.3662. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 13.5890.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7772 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.7099 to the December average rate of 14.3262, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.49% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 14.3662 was down 29.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 20.4107, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 71,831 KES
2013 Average 75,720 KES
Yearly Trough Low 67,945 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,885.98 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

14.3878
13.6483
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.7954, compared to 14.1403 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3449 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.7954
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.1403

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.2389 KES (High: 13.8280 / Low: 13.5890). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0479 KES (High: 13.9682 / Low: 13.9203).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2389
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0479

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 14.3262) against the same month in 2013 (average: 13.7175), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6086 (+4.44%).

2014 Avg (December) 14.3262
2013 Avg (December) 13.7175

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.8280 13.5890 13.7099
February 13.7657 13.6673 13.7124
March 13.7897 13.7212 13.7511
April 13.8349 13.7307 13.7872
May 13.9717 13.7921 13.8926
June 13.9790 13.8903 13.9189
July 13.9682 13.9203 13.9455
August 14.0848 13.9500 14.0078
September 14.1799 14.0109 14.1042
October 14.2488 14.1100 14.1680
November 14.3400 14.2109 14.2901
December 14.3662 14.2778 14.3262