2017 VEF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.4161 KES

YEARLY LOW

9.4450 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.2412 KES

2017 VEF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the VEF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 16, valuing the pair at 10.4161. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 2, dropping to 9.4450.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9711 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.3870 to the December average rate of 10.0150, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 10.4161 was down 36.09% compared to the 2016 peak of 16.2969, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 52,080 KES

2016 Average 58,214 KES

Yearly Trough Low 47,225 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,855.52 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

10.4242

9.9778

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.3154, compared to 10.1670 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1485 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.3154

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.1670

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 0.9426 KES (High: 10.3875 / Low: 9.4450). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0991 KES (High: 10.4051 / Low: 10.3059).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.9426

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0991

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.2148 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2148

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2017: 10.2856) against the same month in 2016 (average: 10.1475), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1381 (+1.36%).

2017 Avg (July) 10.2856

2016 Avg (July) 10.1475

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.4126	10.2642	10.3870
February	10.4051	10.3059	10.3741
March	10.3390	10.1932	10.2922
April	10.3846	10.1446	10.2802
May	10.3452	10.1304	10.2481
June	10.3861	10.1981	10.3109
July	10.4161	10.2009	10.2856
August	10.3377	9.9467	10.2023
September	10.3475	10.1193	10.2441
October	10.3959	9.7884	10.2348
November	10.3875	9.4450	10.0200
December	10.3701	9.5031	10.0150