YEARLY HIGH
7.6387 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.3603 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.8444 RUB

2011 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 4, valuing the pair at 7.6387. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 4, dropping to 6.3603.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2784 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0255 to the December average rate of 7.3369, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 7.6387 was down 45.54% compared to the 2010 peak of 14.0275, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,193 RUB
2010 Average 36,302 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 31,802 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,391.84 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

7.4214
6.4076
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.6657, compared to 7.0230 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3573 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.6657
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.0230

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.8072 RUB (High: 7.5454 / Low: 6.7383). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1567 RUB (High: 6.7134 / Low: 6.5566).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.8072
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1567

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.2168 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2168

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 7.2786) against the same month in 2010 (average: 7.0586), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2200 (+3.12%).

2011 Avg (October) 7.2786
2010 Avg (October) 7.0586

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1860 6.9166 7.0255
February 6.9235 6.6944 6.8087
March 6.7134 6.5566 6.6161
April 6.6074 6.3848 6.5329
May 6.6571 6.3603 6.5003
June 6.6036 6.4332 6.5109
July 6.5870 6.4195 6.4921
August 6.9374 6.4418 6.7117
September 7.5454 6.7383 7.1408
October 7.6387 6.9361 7.2786
November 7.3635 7.0551 7.1780
December 7.5078 7.1537 7.3369