2016 VEF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.0060 RUB

YEARLY LOW

6.0508 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

7.7971 RUB

2016 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 13.0060. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 6.0508.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9552 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.1129 to the December average rate of 6.2116, the exchange rate registered a net change of -48.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.0060 was up 12.12% compared to the 2015 peak of 11.5997, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,030 RUB

2015 Average 48,457 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 30,254 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,775.83 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.8172

5.6111

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1987, compared to 6.3955 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1987

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.3955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.4472 RUB (High: 13.0060 / Low: 11.5588). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1174 RUB (High: 6.3333 / Low: 6.2158).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.4472

October Spread (Stable) ±0.1174

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.3734 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.3734

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 12.1129) against the same month in 2015 (average: 10.1467), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9662 (+19.38%).

2016 Avg (January) 12.1129

2015 Avg (January) 10.1467

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.0060	11.5588	12.1129
February	12.6048	11.9273	12.2167
March	11.6722	10.6525	11.0503
April	6.8713	6.5029	6.6768
May	6.7192	6.5055	6.6110
June	6.7099	6.3882	6.5246
July	6.6703	6.3034	6.4463
August	6.6977	6.3886	6.5032
September	6.5944	6.3052	6.4642
October	6.3333	6.2158	6.2769
November	6.6072	6.3462	6.4709
December	6.4222	6.0508	6.2116