2015 VEF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.5997 RUB

YEARLY LOW

7.7860 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

9.6932 RUB

2015 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 11.5997. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 18, dropping to 7.7860.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8138 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1467 to the December average rate of 11.0833, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 11.5997 was up 6.82% compared to the 2014 peak of 10.8592, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 57,999 RUB

2014 Average 30,629 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 38,930 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,068.86 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

11.3888

7.7230

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 9.1554, compared to 10.2309 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0754 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 9.1554

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.2309

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 1.7103 RUB (High: 11.0169 / Low: 9.3066). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5195 RUB (High: 8.3055 / Low: 7.7860).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7103

May Spread (Stable) ±0.5195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.1448 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1448

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 11.0833) against the same month in 2014 (average: 8.9133), the exchange rate shifted by +2.1700 (+24.35%).

2015 Avg (December) 11.0833

2014 Avg (December) 8.9133

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.0169	9.3066	10.1467
February	11.0766	9.7027	10.1831
March	9.8766	9.0694	9.5293
April	9.1253	7.9029	8.3845
May	8.3055	7.7860	8.0284
June	8.9177	8.3703	8.6606
July	9.6843	8.7825	9.0709
August	11.1629	9.7273	10.3520
September	10.9029	10.3565	10.5880
October	10.4667	9.7234	9.9851
November	10.5795	9.9506	10.3060
December	11.5997	10.5339	11.0833