YEARLY HIGH
10.8592 RUB
YEARLY LOW
5.2263 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.1218 RUB

2014 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 10.8592. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 5.2263.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.6329 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.3571 to the December average rate of 8.9133, the exchange rate registered a net change of 66.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 10.8592 was up 50.61% compared to the 2013 peak of 7.2101, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,296 RUB
2013 Average 27,871 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 26,131 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,164.65 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

9.2689
5.0014
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.5637, compared to 6.6798 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1161 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.5637
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.6798

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 2.7587 RUB (High: 10.8592 / Low: 8.1005). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1682 RUB (High: 5.7500 / Low: 5.5818).

December Spread (Volatile) ±2.7587
April Spread (Stable) ±0.1682

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1239 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1239

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 8.9133) against the same month in 2013 (average: 5.2222), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6911 (+70.68%).

2014 Avg (December) 8.9133
2013 Avg (December) 5.2222

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.5863 5.2263 5.3571
February 5.7258 5.5182 5.6035
March 5.8207 5.5965 5.7469
April 5.7500 5.5818 5.6689
May 5.6914 5.4276 5.5450
June 5.5723 5.3572 5.4609
July 5.6731 5.4023 5.5198
August 5.8917 5.6766 5.7493
September 6.2847 5.8476 6.0347
October 6.8212 6.2916 6.4932
November 7.9372 6.8336 7.3685
December 10.8592 8.1005 8.9133