YEARLY HIGH
7.8825 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.7524 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.2354 RUB

2012 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 7.8825. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 6.7524.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1301 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3025 to the December average rate of 7.1558, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.01% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 7.8825 was up 3.19% compared to the 2011 peak of 7.6387, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,412 RUB
2011 Average 34,224 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 33,762 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,650.43 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

7.7436
6.7494
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1316, compared to 7.3391 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2075 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1316
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.3391

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.9189 RUB (High: 7.7613 / Low: 6.8423). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1328 RUB (High: 7.2020 / Low: 7.0693).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.9189
December Spread (Stable) ±0.1328

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3571 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3571

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 7.6608) against the same month in 2011 (average: 6.5109), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1499 (+17.66%).

2012 Avg (June) 7.6608
2011 Avg (June) 6.5109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4959 7.0249 7.3025
February 7.0512 6.7803 6.9454
March 6.9237 6.7524 6.8322
April 6.9186 6.7777 6.8625
May 7.7613 6.8423 7.1862
June 7.8825 7.5143 7.6608
July 7.6911 7.4453 7.5617
August 7.5587 7.3546 7.4426
September 7.5394 7.1041 7.3139
October 7.3334 7.1647 7.2479
November 7.3999 7.1905 7.3129
December 7.2020 7.0693 7.1558