YEARLY HIGH
7.2101 RUB
YEARLY LOW
4.9062 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.5810 RUB

2013 VEF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the VEF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 19, valuing the pair at 7.2101. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 4.9062.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3039 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0383 to the December average rate of 5.2222, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 7.2101 was down 8.53% compared to the 2012 peak of 7.8825, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 36,051 RUB
2012 Average 36,182 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 24,531 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,519.67 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

7.2443
4.7726
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.9709, compared to 5.1912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7797 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.9709
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.1912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 2.3039 RUB (High: 7.2101 / Low: 4.9062). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0682 RUB (High: 5.2886 / Low: 5.2205).

March Spread (Volatile) ±2.3039
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0682

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 1.6753 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6753

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 6.6582) against the same month in 2012 (average: 6.8322), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1740 (-2.55%).

2013 Avg (March) 6.6582
2012 Avg (March) 6.8322

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1034 6.9931 7.0383
February 7.1272 6.9573 7.0293
March 7.2101 4.9062 6.6582
April 5.0346 4.9105 4.9830
May 5.0574 4.9352 4.9785
June 5.2314 5.0421 5.1379
July 5.3011 5.1348 5.2077
August 5.2886 5.2205 5.2446
September 5.3182 5.0449 5.1772
October 5.1409 5.0396 5.0957
November 5.2690 5.1357 5.1994
December 5.2825 5.1801 5.2222