2011 XDR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

166.4975 KES

YEARLY LOW

123.4515 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

140.0772 KES

2011 XDR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the XDR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 166.4975. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 123.4515.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 43.0460 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 125.2516 to the December average rate of 133.6688, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 166.4975 was up 30.76% compared to the 2010 peak of 127.3264, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 832,488 KES

2010 Average 603,954 KES

Yearly Trough Low 617,258 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 215,229.96 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

162.1078

121.9010

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 133.0433, compared to 147.1111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.0678 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 133.0433

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 147.1111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 15.8203 KES (High: 154.4505 / Low: 138.6302). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.1213 KES (High: 138.0880 / Low: 134.9668).

November Spread (Volatile) ±15.8203

May Spread (Stable) ±3.1213

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 12.7627 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.7627

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 158.7572) against the same month in 2010 (average: 126.5478), the exchange rate shifted by +32.2094 (+25.45%).

2011 Avg (October) 158.7572

2010 Avg (October) 126.5478

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	126.8836	123.4515	125.2516
February	129.5744	126.2834	127.4256
March	135.7718	130.1888	133.1867
April	135.0831	131.9163	133.7826
May	138.0880	134.9668	136.4086
June	145.8777	137.3931	142.2047
July	145.9532	141.7875	143.4239
August	152.1361	145.7749	149.0883
September	160.7825	147.9895	151.7339
October	166.4975	156.7426	158.7572
November	154.4505	138.6302	145.9945
December	140.1771	128.6241	133.6688