YEARLY HIGH
143.9381 KES
YEARLY LOW
136.8031 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
141.1042 KES

2016 XDR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the XDR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 2, valuing the pair at 143.9381. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 136.8031.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.1351 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 141.4468 to the December average rate of 137.5953, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 143.9381 was down 3.59% compared to the 2015 peak of 149.2984, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 719,691 KES
2015 Average 687,290 KES
Yearly Trough Low 684,015 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,675.26 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

143.1388
137.0913
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 142.0653, compared to 140.1431 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.9222 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 142.0653
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 140.1431

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 3.3930 KES (High: 141.0274 / Low: 137.6344). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8864 KES (High: 141.2851 / Low: 140.3987).

November Spread (Volatile) ±3.3930
July Spread (Stable) ±0.8864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.7491 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7491

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2016: 142.1004) against the same month in 2015 (average: 135.2784), the exchange rate shifted by +6.8220 (+5.04%).

2016 Avg (May) 142.1004
2015 Avg (May) 135.2784

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 142.1998 140.9113 141.4468
February 143.5435 140.8891 142.1858
March 142.8834 140.0203 141.6464
April 143.4115 142.0748 142.6348
May 143.9381 141.3456 142.1004
June 143.8947 140.8979 142.3778
July 141.2851 140.3987 140.9409
August 142.8920 141.1839 141.7438
September 142.3360 141.2665 141.6529
October 141.5011 139.1417 139.9038
November 141.0274 137.6344 139.0218
December 138.7277 136.8031 137.5953