YEARLY HIGH
149.0637 KES
YEARLY LOW
139.9671 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
143.6210 KES

2018 XDR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the XDR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 31, valuing the pair at 149.0637. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 22, dropping to 139.9671.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.0966 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 147.9368 to the December average rate of 142.1682, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 149.0637 was up 1.18% compared to the 2017 peak of 147.3253, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 745,318 KES
2017 Average 717,020 KES
Yearly Trough Low 699,835 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 45,482.93 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

148.6465
140.1302
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 145.7309, compared to 141.5111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.2198 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 145.7309
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 141.5111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was February, with a trading range of 2.9117 KES (High: 148.4558 / Low: 145.5440). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8603 KES (High: 141.8059 / Low: 140.9456).

February Spread (Volatile) ±2.9117
September Spread (Stable) ±0.8603

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 2.3999 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3999

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 147.9368) against the same month in 2017 (average: 140.1881), the exchange rate shifted by +7.7487 (+5.53%).

2018 Avg (January) 147.9368
2017 Avg (January) 140.1881

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 149.0637 146.7022 147.9368
February 148.4558 145.5440 147.3145
March 147.4957 146.2738 146.9428
April 147.0723 144.2309 145.8766
May 144.3669 142.9941 143.4767
June 143.9124 141.6735 142.8381
July 142.4399 139.9671 141.3898
August 141.3341 140.4295 140.8399
September 141.8059 140.9456 141.3680
October 141.5229 140.4339 141.0001
November 143.3203 141.2396 142.3004
December 142.7372 141.2259 142.1682