YEARLY HIGH
159.0026 KES
YEARLY LOW
152.2143 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
156.2435 KES

2021 XDR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the XDR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 159.0026. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 13, dropping to 152.2143.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.7883 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 158.4620 to the December average rate of 158.3688, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 159.0026 was down 1.26% compared to the 2020 peak of 161.0280, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 795,013 KES
2020 Average 741,957 KES
Yearly Trough Low 761,072 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,941.48 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

158.9114
153.5186
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 156.1321, compared to 156.3550 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2229 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 156.1321
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 156.3550

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 3.8207 KES (High: 156.0351 / Low: 152.2143). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0330 KES (High: 155.9319 / Low: 154.8990).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.8207
August Spread (Stable) ±1.0330

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.4014 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4014

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 158.3688) against the same month in 2020 (average: 158.9543), the exchange rate shifted by -0.5855 (-0.37%).

2021 Avg (December) 158.3688
2020 Avg (December) 158.9543

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 158.9326 157.4503 158.4620
February 158.6594 157.1171 157.9182
March 158.1575 155.2029 156.6502
April 156.0351 152.2143 154.2487
May 156.2999 153.0232 154.7239
June 156.0344 153.6764 154.7893
July 155.1021 153.4764 153.9680
August 155.9319 154.8990 155.3370
September 156.9157 155.6631 156.4884
October 157.7596 155.8562 156.6261
November 157.6967 156.4932 157.3414
December 159.0026 157.5636 158.3688