2012 XDR to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

133.7670 KES

YEARLY LOW

125.6833 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

129.3808 KES

2012 XDR to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the XDR to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 133.7670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 125.6833.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.0836 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 132.1539 to the December average rate of 132.2506, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 133.7670 was down 19.66% compared to the 2011 peak of 166.4975, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 XDR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 668,835 KES

2011 Average 700,722 KES

Yearly Trough Low 628,417 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 40,418.23 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

132.7904

126.3127

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

XDR to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 129.0298, compared to 129.7318 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 129.0298

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 129.7318

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 3.7137 KES (High: 133.7670 / Low: 130.0533). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9911 KES (High: 131.6363 / Low: 130.6452).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.7137

October Spread (Stable) ±0.9911

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.5183 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5183

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 132.1539) against the same month in 2011 (average: 125.2516), the exchange rate shifted by +6.9023 (+5.51%).

2012 Avg (January) 132.1539

2011 Avg (January) 125.2516

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	133.7670	130.0533	132.1539
February	129.8312	127.4700	128.6357
March	128.7352	125.6833	127.7169
April	128.9689	127.5845	128.2654
May	131.1245	128.2206	128.9759
June	130.1418	127.0192	128.4313
July	127.9067	125.8527	126.8525
August	128.2486	126.5552	127.1342
September	131.5980	128.1382	130.0832
October	131.6363	130.6452	131.1468
November	131.8808	130.3358	130.9237
December	132.7451	131.3982	132.2506