YEARLY HIGH
66.3990 UGX
YEARLY LOW
50.9562 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
57.0622 UGX

2011 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 66.3990. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 50.9562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 15.4428 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 54.1375 to the December average rate of 52.7866, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.50% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 66.3990 was up 22.48% compared to the 2010 peak of 54.2127, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 331,995 UGX
2010 Average 241,706 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 254,781 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 77,213.88 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

65.2072
51.6575
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 55.3501, compared to 58.7743 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.4242 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 55.3501
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.7743

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 7.5305 UGX (High: 66.3990 / Low: 58.8684). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4611 UGX (High: 55.7977 / Low: 55.3366).

September Spread (Volatile) ±7.5305
May Spread (Stable) ±0.4611

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 6.0327 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.0327

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 64.0155) against the same month in 2010 (average: 51.0725), the exchange rate shifted by +12.9430 (+25.34%).

2011 Avg (September) 64.0155
2010 Avg (September) 51.0725

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 55.6038 53.1434 54.1375
February 55.4219 53.6226 54.5622
March 56.4076 55.1071 55.7213
April 55.4922 54.1449 55.1408
May 55.7977 55.3366 55.5487
June 62.2426 55.1014 56.9901
July 60.7447 59.0265 60.1781
August 65.7588 60.7706 64.0781
September 66.3990 58.8684 64.0155
October 59.7009 53.4515 57.9828
November 56.8078 51.8171 53.6047
December 54.9318 50.9562 52.7866