YEARLY HIGH
44.9578 UGX
YEARLY LOW
33.4431 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
41.1150 UGX

2022 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 44.9578. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 33.4431.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.5147 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.7564 to the December average rate of 42.1616, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.90% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 44.9578 was down 6.66% compared to the 2021 peak of 48.1675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 224,789 UGX
2021 Average 216,751 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 167,215 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 57,573.69 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

44.9584
32.7380
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 39.2931, compared to 42.9368 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.6437 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 39.2931
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 42.9368

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was February, with a trading range of 3.6753 UGX (High: 38.6823 / Low: 35.0070). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8113 UGX (High: 43.1601 / Low: 42.3488).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.6753
July Spread (Stable) ±0.8113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2392 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2392

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2022: 43.9401) against the same month in 2021 (average: 39.7109), the exchange rate shifted by +4.2292 (+10.65%).

2022 Avg (October) 43.9401
2021 Avg (October) 39.7109

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 34.3064 33.4431 33.7564
February 38.6823 35.0070 37.7125
March 41.5394 38.4584 40.4915
April 41.4985 39.8269 40.5390
May 42.4428 40.3100 41.1660
June 42.7526 41.6047 42.0935
July 43.1601 42.3488 42.7441
August 43.5853 41.7645 42.9155
September 44.0794 42.3037 43.1588
October 44.9578 43.2686 43.9401
November 43.2628 41.8952 42.7009
December 42.9122 41.4004 42.1616