YEARLY HIGH
49.6589 UGX
YEARLY LOW
45.3166 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.5899 UGX

2019 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 49.6589. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 29, dropping to 45.3166.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.3423 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 49.0701 to the December average rate of 46.7793, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 49.6589 was down 14.39% compared to the 2018 peak of 58.0035, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 248,295 UGX
2018 Average 257,544 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 226,583 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,711.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

49.4567
45.7080
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 48.3143, compared to 46.8654 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.4489 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 48.3143
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.8654

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 2.1954 UGX (High: 47.5120 / Low: 45.3166). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5381 UGX (High: 47.1393 / Low: 46.6012).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.1954
December Spread (Stable) ±0.5381

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.1448 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1448

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2019: 49.1443) against the same month in 2018 (average: 52.6293), the exchange rate shifted by -3.4850 (-6.62%).

2019 Avg (March) 49.1443
2018 Avg (March) 52.6293

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.4674 48.4430 49.0701
February 49.5401 48.6405 49.0388
March 49.6589 48.6989 49.1443
April 48.8947 47.9921 48.3849
May 48.6423 46.5955 47.6962
June 47.5120 45.3166 46.5514
July 46.5659 45.5473 46.0204
August 47.3357 46.1457 46.9932
September 47.3368 46.6790 46.9555
October 47.6526 46.9764 47.2526
November 47.4921 46.9388 47.1915
December 47.1393 46.6012 46.7793