2016 AFN to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

54.9981 UGX

YEARLY LOW

48.1687 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

50.4427 UGX

2016 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 54.9981. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 15, dropping to 48.1687.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.8294 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 50.2315 to the December average rate of 54.1923, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 54.9981 was down 6.09% compared to the 2015 peak of 58.5671, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274,990 UGX

2015 Average 264,145 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 240,844 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,146.79 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

54.7419

48.1464

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 49.2235, compared to 51.6618 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.4382 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 49.2235

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.6618

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 2.2474 UGX (High: 51.4393 / Low: 49.1919). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7084 UGX (High: 49.6358 / Low: 48.9274).

August Spread (Volatile) ±2.2474

July Spread (Stable) ±0.7084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.6943 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6943

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 54.1923) against the same month in 2015 (average: 49.7790), the exchange rate shifted by +4.4133 (+8.87%).

2016 Avg (December) 54.1923

2015 Avg (December) 49.7790

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	50.7439	49.3564	50.2315
February	50.6361	48.7880	49.7787
March	49.3961	48.6313	49.0844
April	49.0910	48.3712	48.8273
May	49.2254	48.4321	48.7234
June	49.8845	48.1687	48.6960
July	49.6358	48.9274	49.1975
August	51.4393	49.1919	50.1188
September	51.6164	49.8821	50.7125
October	52.6459	51.2884	52.0807
November	54.4149	52.4789	53.6689
December	54.9981	53.6082	54.1923