YEARLY HIGH
54.9878 UGX
YEARLY LOW
40.3539 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.3674 UGX

2023 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 28, valuing the pair at 54.9878. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 8, dropping to 40.3539.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.6339 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 41.5507 to the December average rate of 54.0642, the exchange rate registered a net change of 30.12% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 54.9878 was up 22.31% compared to the 2022 peak of 44.9578, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 274,939 UGX
2022 Average 205,660 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 201,769 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 73,169.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

55.3578
39.8346
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.3120, compared to 48.4227 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.1106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.3120
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.4227

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was September, with a trading range of 5.1734 UGX (High: 50.8311 / Low: 45.6576). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3554 UGX (High: 43.2698 / Low: 41.9144).

September Spread (Volatile) ±5.1734
May Spread (Stable) ±1.3554

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6116 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6116

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 52.9073) against the same month in 2022 (average: 42.7009), the exchange rate shifted by +10.2064 (+23.90%).

2023 Avg (November) 52.9073
2022 Avg (November) 42.7009

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 42.5497 40.7643 41.5507
February 42.4131 40.3539 41.1282
March 44.2914 41.4640 42.6627
April 43.8952 40.9227 43.2084
May 43.2698 41.9144 42.5968
June 43.4259 41.9443 42.7255
July 43.0249 41.5054 42.2673
August 45.7923 41.6579 43.6093
September 50.8311 45.6576 47.9934
October 51.4043 47.9245 49.6947
November 54.9878 50.5899 52.9073
December 54.9298 53.3966 54.0642