YEARLY HIGH
48.0414 UGX
YEARLY LOW
42.8967 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
45.5623 UGX

2014 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 48.0414. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 42.8967.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1448 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 44.4525 to the December average rate of 47.6898, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.28% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 48.0414 was down 9.29% compared to the 2013 peak of 52.9593, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 240,207 UGX
2013 Average 236,597 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 214,483 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,723.83 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

48.1071
43.0988
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 44.3806, compared to 46.7440 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.3634 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 44.3806
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 46.7440

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 1.9099 UGX (High: 45.1019 / Low: 43.1920). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6134 UGX (High: 46.6013 / Low: 45.9879).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.9099
August Spread (Stable) ±0.6134

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.9363 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9363

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 47.3463) against the same month in 2013 (average: 44.0755), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2708 (+7.42%).

2014 Avg (November) 47.3463
2013 Avg (November) 44.0755

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 45.1019 43.1920 44.4525
February 44.3991 42.8967 43.5162
March 45.2457 43.9049 44.4782
April 44.9675 44.0236 44.4715
May 44.9005 44.1874 44.5000
June 45.5386 44.1350 44.8654
July 46.7679 45.4635 46.2564
August 46.6013 45.9879 46.3549
September 46.5571 45.6465 46.1258
October 47.2556 46.3336 46.6909
November 48.0414 46.6066 47.3463
December 47.9938 47.2830 47.6898