YEARLY HIGH
58.0035 UGX
YEARLY LOW
48.7006 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
51.5182 UGX

2018 AFN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AFN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 18, valuing the pair at 58.0035. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 48.7006.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.3029 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 52.1543 to the December average rate of 49.1339, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.79% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 58.0035 was up 6.06% compared to the 2017 peak of 54.6904, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AFN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 290,018 UGX
2017 Average 266,168 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 243,503 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,514.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

53.9140
48.6994
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AFN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 52.6668, compared to 50.3697 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2970 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 52.6668
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.3697

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 9.0341 UGX (High: 58.0035 / Low: 48.9695). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7516 UGX (High: 53.2922 / Low: 52.5406).

November Spread (Volatile) ±9.0341
April Spread (Stable) ±0.7516

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9329 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9329

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 49.6528) against the same month in 2017 (average: 52.9880), the exchange rate shifted by -3.3353 (-6.29%).

2018 Avg (November) 49.6528
2017 Avg (November) 52.9880

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 52.5326 51.5185 52.1543
February 53.0106 52.1919 52.4763
March 53.2578 52.3638 52.6293
April 53.2922 52.5406 52.8215
May 52.9315 52.0031 52.4396
June 54.6064 52.6592 53.4794
July 53.2853 50.6205 51.5466
August 51.7206 50.7571 51.2891
September 51.2245 50.0479 50.7062
October 50.5780 49.4612 49.8898
November 58.0035 48.9695 49.6528
December 49.5989 48.7006 49.1339