YEARLY HIGH
151.3986 MMK
YEARLY LOW
115.5274 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
121.7119 MMK

2014 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 151.3986. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 3, dropping to 115.5274.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.8712 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 141.8382 to the December average rate of 120.6238, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 151.3986 was down 16.83% compared to the 2013 peak of 182.0299, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 756,993 MMK
2013 Average 854,394 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 577,637 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 179,356.01 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

144.3645
114.0490
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 124.8540, compared to 118.5699 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.2842 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 124.8540
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 118.5699

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 28.4531 MMK (High: 151.3986 / Low: 122.9455). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4303 MMK (High: 120.4603 / Low: 120.0300).

January Spread (Volatile) ±28.4531
April Spread (Stable) ±0.4303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 16.6223 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -16.6223

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 141.8382) against the same month in 2013 (average: 173.2893), the exchange rate shifted by -31.4511 (-18.15%).

2014 Avg (January) 141.8382
2013 Avg (January) 173.2893

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 151.3986 122.9455 141.8382
February 126.8080 122.6296 125.2159
March 124.5396 120.3970 122.2896
April 120.4603 120.0300 120.2232
May 120.3990 119.3832 119.9174
June 120.2875 119.0444 119.6399
July 119.9674 118.5744 119.3345
August 118.2863 115.6098 116.9404
September 117.9915 115.5274 116.5753
October 118.2161 116.1176 117.2478
November 123.4968 117.7506 120.6974
December 121.7732 120.2377 120.6238