2016 ARS to MMK Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

100.9970 MMK

YEARLY LOW

77.1823 MMK

YEARLY AVERAGE

83.8212 MMK

2016 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 100.9970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 77.1823.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.8147 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 95.8654 to the December average rate of 85.2302, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 100.9970 was down 25.29% compared to the 2015 peak of 135.1808, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 504,985 MMK

2015 Average 600,027 MMK

Yearly Trough Low 385,912 MMK

Transaction Impact: A difference of 119,073.42 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

97.5389

77.4575

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 85.1977, compared to 82.4446 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.7532 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 85.1977

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 82.4446

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 13.8310 MMK (High: 92.1799 / Low: 78.3489). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9333 MMK (High: 81.1529 / Low: 79.2196).

February Spread (Volatile) ±13.8310

August Spread (Stable) ±1.9333

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 11.4630 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.4630

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 95.8654) against the same month in 2015 (average: 119.7064), the exchange rate shifted by -23.8410 (-19.92%).

2016 Avg (January) 95.8654

2015 Avg (January) 119.7064

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	100.9970	93.0981	95.8654
February	92.1799	78.3489	84.4024
March	83.8364	78.8725	81.6358
April	83.8281	81.1168	82.1825
May	85.1755	81.8399	83.0626
June	86.6801	77.1823	84.0377
July	80.7343	77.9719	79.1310
August	81.1529	79.2196	80.4033
September	82.6916	80.2227	81.4178
October	84.8995	82.1727	83.8681
November	86.1089	83.3493	84.6172
December	88.6546	82.4936	85.2302