YEARLY HIGH
1.5500 MMK
YEARLY LOW
1.4000 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.4737 MMK

2026 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 13, valuing the pair at 1.5500. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 29, dropping to 1.4000.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1500 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4492 to the December average rate of 1.4122, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.55% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 1.5500 was down 23.84% compared to the 2025 peak of 2.0352, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,750 MMK
2025 Average 8,572 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 7,000 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 750.05 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

1.5297
1.4015
JanuMarcMayJuly

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4839, compared to 1.4122 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0717 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4839
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.4122

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0920 MMK (High: 1.5336 / Low: 1.4416). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0209 MMK (High: 1.5078 / Low: 1.4869).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0920
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0209

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0424 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0424

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 1.5190) against the same month in 2025 (average: 1.8742), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3552 (-18.95%).

2026 Avg (April) 1.5190
2025 Avg (April) 1.8742

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4844 1.4184 1.4492
February 1.5336 1.4416 1.4922
March 1.5349 1.4657 1.5029
April 1.5500 1.4824 1.5190
May 1.5078 1.4869 1.4913
June 1.4849 1.4167 1.4488
July 1.4263 1.4000 1.4122