YEARLY HIGH
73.4824 MMK
YEARLY LOW
37.8186 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
54.1732 MMK

2018 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 73.4824. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 37.8186.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.6638 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 70.8190 to the December average rate of 41.4399, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 73.4824 was down 18.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 89.8859, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 367,412 MMK
2017 Average 412,325 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 189,093 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 178,318.86 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

73.8300
37.6986
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 63.1920, compared to 45.1545 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 18.0374 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 63.1920
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 45.1545

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 16.0126 MMK (High: 55.5167 / Low: 39.5041). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9298 MMK (High: 66.4787 / Low: 65.5490).

August Spread (Volatile) ±16.0126
March Spread (Stable) ±0.9298

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 9.7760 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.7760

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 70.8190) against the same month in 2017 (average: 85.4119), the exchange rate shifted by -14.5929 (-17.09%).

2018 Avg (January) 70.8190
2017 Avg (January) 85.4119

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 73.4824 67.8021 70.8190
February 68.7491 66.1366 67.2279
March 66.4787 65.5490 66.1428
April 66.3228 64.8939 65.8460
May 65.2031 53.9211 57.5080
June 54.5577 48.6219 51.6080
July 53.3610 48.7121 51.7701
August 55.5167 39.5041 50.4855
September 43.7457 37.8186 40.7095
October 44.8780 39.4480 42.5257
November 45.3242 40.7310 43.9963
December 42.8328 40.5089 41.4399