YEARLY HIGH
41.4508 MMK
YEARLY LOW
24.6520 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.5745 MMK

2019 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 41.4508. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 24.6520.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.7988 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 41.0265 to the December average rate of 25.0770, the exchange rate registered a net change of -38.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 41.4508 was down 43.59% compared to the 2018 peak of 73.4824, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 207,254 MMK
2018 Average 270,529 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 123,260 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 83,994.17 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

42.6214
23.4821
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.0227, compared to 28.1262 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.8965 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.0227
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.1262

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 9.0290 MMK (High: 34.1542 / Low: 25.1252). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4698 MMK (High: 25.5755 / Low: 25.1056).

August Spread (Volatile) ±9.0290
November Spread (Stable) ±0.4698

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.2280 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.2280

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 41.0265) against the same month in 2018 (average: 70.8190), the exchange rate shifted by -29.7926 (-42.07%).

2019 Avg (January) 41.0265
2018 Avg (January) 70.8190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 41.4508 40.1550 41.0265
February 40.9199 38.6685 39.9021
March 38.4733 34.6633 36.9341
April 36.5709 33.2633 35.2353
May 34.5498 33.6633 34.1501
June 35.8277 33.9237 34.8882
July 36.3770 34.3870 35.6518
August 34.1542 25.1252 29.4237
September 27.5944 25.5769 27.0207
October 26.6103 25.5549 26.1880
November 25.5755 25.1056 25.3959
December 25.3308 24.6520 25.0770