YEARLY HIGH
135.1808 MMK
YEARLY LOW
98.0894 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
120.0252 MMK

2015 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 7, valuing the pair at 135.1808. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 98.0894.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.0915 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 119.7064 to the December average rate of 116.8721, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 135.1808 was down 10.71% compared to the 2014 peak of 151.3986, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 675,904 MMK
2014 Average 608,549 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 490,447 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 185,457.37 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

135.9145
113.5491
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 120.0565, compared to 119.9940 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0626 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 120.0565
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 119.9940

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 36.2338 MMK (High: 134.3232 / Low: 98.0894). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9473 MMK (High: 119.2856 / Low: 118.3384).

December Spread (Volatile) ±36.2338
February Spread (Stable) ±0.9473

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 17.1787 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -17.1787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2015: 134.0507) against the same month in 2014 (average: 120.6974), the exchange rate shifted by +13.3533 (+11.06%).

2015 Avg (November) 134.0507
2014 Avg (November) 120.6974

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 121.2803 118.7614 119.7064
February 119.2856 118.3384 118.7047
March 120.3943 117.5624 118.5346
April 121.7150 115.8655 120.2544
May 122.1222 121.0142 121.5325
June 122.5497 120.7552 121.6064
July 122.8194 117.5819 119.8787
August 117.5694 116.2588 116.9270
September 116.1913 114.7400 115.4128
October 135.0605 113.5475 116.8223
November 135.1808 132.8369 134.0507
December 134.3232 98.0894 116.8721