YEARLY HIGH
11.8836 MMK
YEARLY LOW
2.5949 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.0377 MMK

2023 ARS to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the ARS to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 11.8836. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 2.5949.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.2886 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.5389 to the December average rate of 3.8467, the exchange rate registered a net change of -66.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 11.8836 was down 31.40% compared to the 2022 peak of 17.3227, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,418 MMK
2022 Average 74,973 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 12,975 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,443.17 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

12.3081
3.0775
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.0276, compared to 6.0479 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.9797 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.0276
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 6.0479

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 3.2292 MMK (High: 5.8241 / Low: 2.5949). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0303 MMK (High: 6.0049 / Low: 5.9746).

December Spread (Volatile) ±3.2292
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0303

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2023. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.0919 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0919

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2023: 11.5389) against the same month in 2022 (average: 17.1112), the exchange rate shifted by -5.5724 (-32.57%).

2023 Avg (January) 11.5389
2022 Avg (January) 17.1112

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.8836 11.2295 11.5389
February 11.2669 10.6507 10.9541
March 10.6287 10.0699 10.3562
April 10.0699 9.3573 9.7519
May 9.4448 8.7658 9.1003
June 8.7403 8.1876 8.4642
July 8.1876 7.6330 7.8980
August 7.6067 5.9907 6.6079
September 6.0124 5.9783 6.0006
October 6.0049 5.9746 5.9955
November 6.0059 5.8262 5.9386
December 5.8241 2.5949 3.8467