YEARLY HIGH
81.8949 JMD
YEARLY LOW
72.6394 JMD
YEARLY AVERAGE
77.8078 JMD

2018 BGN to JMD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to JMD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 81.8949. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 27, dropping to 72.6394.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.2555 JMD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 77.4742 to the December average rate of 74.3619, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 81.8949 was up 2.30% compared to the 2017 peak of 80.0544, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 409,475 JMD
2017 Average 370,655 JMD
Yearly Trough Low 363,197 JMD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,277.74 JMD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

81.9216
72.7569
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to JMD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.1243, compared to 77.4912 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6331 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.1243
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 77.4912

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 5.0756 JMD (High: 79.4224 / Low: 74.3469). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9718 JMD (High: 75.3105 / Low: 73.3387).

October Spread (Volatile) ±5.0756
December Spread (Stable) ±1.9718

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 4.1165 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2018: 79.9898) against the same month in 2017 (average: 77.1959), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7939 (+3.62%).

2018 Avg (August) 79.9898
2017 Avg (August) 77.1959

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 79.1417 75.5734 77.4742
February 80.3356 78.3402 79.3835
March 81.1524 79.1619 80.2037
April 79.2805 76.9960 78.3107
May 76.6653 74.4881 75.9373
June 78.6092 75.7149 77.4365
July 79.7992 76.9164 78.2800
August 81.8949 78.6790 79.9898
September 81.8412 79.8519 81.1579
October 79.4224 74.3469 77.6371
November 74.7773 72.6394 73.5206
December 75.3105 73.3387 74.3619